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BUFFALO ALL TOO PREDICTABLE AWAY FROM HOME

By David Staba

It’s a holiday week, and we’re all in a hurry.

So let’s cut to the chase here. While you could easily expend any number of paragraphs rationalizing why the Buffalo Bills could and should beat the Seahawks on Sunday in Seattle, what’s the point?

There were plenty of logical reasons for Buffalo to upset, or at least show up against, the New England Patriots in their last road debacle (calling the Bills’ showings outside of Orchard Park “games” does a disservice to the concept of competition). And look what happened.

This isn’t based on one or two isolated incidents, either. Buffalo has won two road games since Opening Day 2003. One was in Jacksonville against a Jaguars team in utter disarray in Week 2 of last season. Then there was the walkover in December against a New York Giants team that had given up around Halloween.

The Seahawks, a five-point favorite, have plenty of flaws, not the least of which is their dependence on a wide receiver who should have retired last century. But the last 10 home teams to smack Buffalo around had weaknesses, too. And the Bills couldn’t take advantage of any of them.

Until the Buffalo’s vaunted-at-home defense proves it can make enough plays to win a game away from Ralph Wilson Stadium, and Drew Bledsoe shows he can do more than completely melt down when the fans are less than friendly, I’m not predicting either will happen. Seahawks, 24-12.

Indianapolis (-9) at Detroit: Nor am I picking against Peyton Manning, who will throw no fewer than four touchdown passes on Thanksgving Day, until further notice. Colts, 37-24.

Chicago at Dallas (-3.5): Bill Parcells couldn’t ask for a much better situation to break in Drew Henson. Cowboys, 20-6.

Baltimore at New England (-7): Kyle Boller’s getting better, but he’s not ready to win in Foxborough. Patriots, 23-20.

Philadelphia (-7) at N.Y. Giants: Think the Eagles might blitz Eli Manning a little? Eagles, 28-19.

Washington at Pittsburgh (-11): Another “until further notice” game. Steelers, 30-14.

Cleveland at Cincinnati (-5.5): Maybe the Browns’ problems the last few years weren’t all Tim Couch’s fault, eh? Bengals, 26-13.

Jacksonville at Minnesota (-6): Think Daunte Culpepper will be glad to see Randy Moss in uniform? Vikings, 38-20.

Tampa Bay (-2) at Carolina: Nick Goings finally gives the Panthers a running game, but that defense is still pretty beat up. Bucs, 23-17.

San Diego at Kansas City (-3): San Diego still has plenty to play for. Chargers, 26-24.

Tennessee (-1.5) at Houston: The Titans and Texans are both 4-6, but headed in opposite directions. Titans, 19-16.

New Orleans at Atlanta (-9.5): Michael Vick against the worst defense in football. Hmmm … Falcons, 34-9.

N.Y. Jets (-3) at Arizona: Denny Green should have the Cards fired up at home after last week’s embarrassment against Carolina, but I’ll take Quincy Carter and Curtis Martin over Shaun King and Emmitt Smith. Jets, 17-12.

Miami at San Francisco (no line): The oddsmakers took this one off the board, ostensibly because A.J. Feeley has an injured hip and Jay Fiedler just went on the injured reserve list. But it’s more likely that there’s no line because not even people who get paid to analyze football games want to contemplate this disaster. 49ers, 3-2.

Oakland at Denver (-10.5): Some day soon, watching the Raiders get gutted will get old. Some day. Broncos, 37-6.

St. Louis at Green Bay: Word out of St. Louis has it that Mike Martz is already preparing excuses for what Brett Favre does to his secondary on Monday night. Packers, 33-20. Last week: 13-3 overall, 8-7-1 against the spread. Overall: 102-58 overall, 83-74-3 against the spread.


David Staba is the sports editor of the Niagara Falls Reporter and welcomes email at dstaba13@aol.com.

Niagara Falls Reporter

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Nov. 24 2004